News

EU ETS in pricing ‘no man’s land’

– 17 April 2024

Description

The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is entering a transitional phase in which traditional pricing drivers, especially from the power sector, are losing dominance.

At a recent conference in Florence, analysts pointed out that the carbon market now sits “in no man’s land,” caught between fading utility-based hedging and emerging industrial demand.

Stefan Feuchtinger, Head of Market Research & Analysis at Vertis, observed that while utilities have historically anchored carbon pricing, their hedging activity is much reduced today. He expects the carbon market to stay influenced by power sector dynamics until approximately 2026–27, at which point industrial forces may begin to assert greater pricing power.

  • Beyond this shift in price leadership, the article raises critical questions:
  • What happens when industrial emitters become the primary price setters?
  • Can carbon capture and storage reshape cost structures and expectations?
  • What price levels will incentivize meaningful decarbonisation in heavy industry?

In this article, we’ll unpack these themes, explain how this “in-between” state affects regulated entities, and suggest how companies can position themselves as the carbon market’s balance of power evolves.

Read the full article

Latest news

Blog

UK ETS: Volatility, Linkage & the Price Question

March 31, 2026

On 15 January 2026, ICE Dec-26 UKA futures hit an intraday high of £75.45, closing at £72.88. The sterling-equivalent spread to Dec-26 EUAs had compressed to around.....

expensive gas News

Germany’s CO2 Price for 2027 Could be Higher Than Expected

March 5, 2026

Germany’s national CO₂ pricing system (nEHS) was a true pioneer, tackling emissions from road transport and heating. Its success helped inspire the EU’s expansio.....

Podcast

Carbon at the Border: Strategy in the CBAM Era

March 2, 2026

In this episode of Carbon Trading Chronicles, we explore how CBAM works in practice, with insights from Sarah Hay (Norsk Hydro) and Bjorn Bojessen (Vertis).

Switching to